The truth about market timing

There are many services dedicated to timing the market. Some use complex mathematical indicators to gauge market direction in an attempt to foretell what comes next. But, the simple truth about market timing is that it cannot be done using math. All the moving averages, Bollinger Bsnds, and MACDs out there can only provide answers about the past. Or even worse, they can produce false signals, which will reverse themselves quickly only to cause you losses.

FollowTheCheese takes an entirely different approach. It monitors futures contracts that are known to be traded by the big (and more astute) market players and calculates their willingness to overpay their bets, similar to the existing put/call ratio market indicator. However, our formula, which took 12 years to develop and refine, clearly separates the positive and negative sentiment and presents them using green and red indicator bars. Unlike the put/call ratio, this approach gives bullish signal when the traders are bullish and bearish signal when the traders are bearish, confirming their uncanny ability to call the market moves in real time.

But timing the market is not possible, or is it?

If timing the market were not possible, how could traders make any money in the market short-term? And there are such traders for sure, astute individuals, even insiders, people connected with the market industry, people in the know. We don't care how they obtain their information -- we just follow their sentiment, riding their coat tails as they make their bets. Simple as that.

Does it work every single time? No, of course not. There is no silver bullet when it comes to trading the market and anyone that tells you differently would not be telling the truth. But, it is close enough, and it gives us an indication of upcoming turn -- that's where the value is. Besides, if it were any closer, the market would certainly find a way around it.

Can YOU make money with this?

This site is certainly not for everyone. If you are a long-term, buy-and-hold investor who selects their investments based on their fundemental value and holds them for years, this site would probably not be of much benefit to you. However, if you like to take advantage of short-term market swings (a so-called "swing-trader"), this site could be of immense value to you. Our analysis is designed to tag the turning points of the market, so you can reverse your positions accordingly. The exact form of your investment vehicle is up to you, but typical instruments include index funds, dynamic (leveraged) funds and index options.

Even though our analysis is based on S&P 500, it can really be applied to other indexes (e.g. DOW) and markets (e.g. NASDAQ), because all these move in perfect unison at all times. Yes, they do not move at the same speed, which sometimes creates an illusion that they move in opposite directions. That, of course, is not possible and when you compare the turning points of all the US markets and indexes, you will find out they always align perfectly, so a local top in DOW will occur at the same time as a local top in the S&P 500.

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